Vancouver Canucks at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions
2025-10-21 • PPG Paints Arena
Pittsburgh Penguins 5 - 1 Vancouver Canucks
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PIT: 54.4%
VAN: 45.6%
Expected Goals
PIT: 3.38
VAN: 3.31
Total Goals
Median: 6.5
Over 5.5: 63%
Over 6.5: 50%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 19-12-5 | 0.890 SV% | 2.79 GAA
VAN
Kevin Lankinen - 7-19-4 | 0.876 SV% | 3.67 GAA
| Stat | PIT | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.885 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.863 | 0.793 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.938 | 0.843 |
| GAA | 2.91 | 3.41 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • PIT at home vs VAN: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-25 | VAN 2 - 3 PIT | PIT | VAN |
| 2025-10-21 | PIT 5 - 1 VAN | PIT | PIT |
| 2024-11-27 | PIT 5 - 4 VAN | PIT | PIT |
| 2024-10-26 | VAN 4 - 3 PIT | VAN | VAN |
| 2024-02-27 | VAN 3 - 4 PIT | PIT | VAN |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:18 | VAN | Goal |
| 1 | 11:39 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 14:21 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 16:18 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 17:29 | PIT | Goal |
| 3 | 05:56 | PIT | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 54.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.7
Score Breakdown
Pittsburgh Penguins 5 - 1 Vancouver Canucks
Expected: 3.4 - 3.3