Seattle Kraken at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions

2025-10-21 • Capital One Arena

Washington Capitals 4 - 1 Seattle Kraken

Win Probability

WSH: 75.9%

SEA: 24.1%

Expected Goals

WSH: 3.99

SEA: 2.38

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • WSH at home vs SEA: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-27	SEA 5 - 1 WSH	SEA	WSH
2025-10-21	WSH 4 - 1 SEA	WSH	WSH
2025-03-09	WSH 4 - 2 SEA	WSH	WSH
2025-01-23	SEA 0 - 3 WSH	WSH	WSH
2024-03-14	SEA 1 - 2 WSH	WSH	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WSH	19	0	0.90
1	SEA	8	0	0.45
2	WSH	21	2	1.68
2	SEA	8	0	0.13
3	WSH	10	1	0.74
3	SEA	17	0	1.28

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 75.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Washington Capitals 4 - 1 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 4.0 - 2.4