Florida Panthers at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions
2025-10-21 • TD Garden
Boston Bruins 3 - 4 Florida Panthers
🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BOS: 52.9%
FLA: 47.1%
Expected Goals
BOS: 3.09
FLA: 2.98
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 44%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 22-12-3 | 0.903 SV% | 2.92 GAA
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 21-17-1 | 0.871 SV% | 3.13 GAA
| Stat | BOS | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.903 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.889 | 0.837 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.826 | 0.883 |
| GAA | 2.84 | 2.80 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • BOS at home vs FLA: 3-5
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-04 | FLA 5 - 4 BOS | FLA | FLA |
| 2025-10-21 | BOS 3 - 4 FLA | FLA | BOS |
| 2025-03-11 | BOS 3 - 2 FLA | BOS | BOS |
| 2025-01-11 | FLA 3 - 4 BOS | BOS | FLA |
| 2024-10-14 | BOS 3 - 4 FLA | FLA | BOS |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:01 | FLA | Goal |
| 2 | 02:01 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 19:34 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 18:29 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 09:58 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 04:46 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 02:46 | FLA | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 52.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Boston Bruins 3 - 4 Florida Panthers
Expected: 3.1 - 3.0