Los Angeles Kings at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2025-10-21 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 1 - 2 Los Angeles Kings (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)

Win Probability

STL: 55.6%

LAK: 44.4%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.31

LAK: 3.02

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • STL at home vs LAK: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-01	LAK 2 - 1 STL	LAK	LAK
2026-01-24	STL 4 - 5 LAK	LAK	LAK
2025-10-21	STL 1 - 2 LAK	LAK	STL
2025-03-08	LAK 2 - 1 STL	LAK	LAK
2025-03-05	LAK 2 - 3 STL	STL	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	11	1	0.66
1	LAK	13	0	0.50
2	STL	6	1	0.67
2	LAK	13	0	0.51
3	STL	13	1	0.87
3	LAK	10	0	0.36
4	STL	1	0	0.05
4	LAK	2	0	0.21

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 1 - 2 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.3 - 3.0