Los Angeles Kings at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions
2025-10-21 • Enterprise Center
St. Louis Blues 1 - 2 Los Angeles Kings (OT)
🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
STL: 51.8%
LAK: 48.2%
Expected Goals
STL: 2.93
LAK: 3.01
Total Goals
Median: 5.3
Over 5.5: 49%
Over 6.5: 35%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
STL
Jordan Binnington - 8-17-6 | 0.864 SV% | 3.65 GAA
LAK
Darcy Kuemper - 14-11-9 | 0.900 SV% | 2.59 GAA
| Stat | STL | LAK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.869 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.826 | 0.866 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.929 | 0.894 |
| GAA | 3.56 | 2.27 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • STL at home vs LAK: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | STL 4 - 5 LAK | LAK | STL |
| 2025-10-21 | STL 1 - 2 LAK | LAK | STL |
| 2025-03-08 | LAK 2 - 1 STL | LAK | LAK |
| 2025-03-05 | LAK 2 - 3 STL | STL | LAK |
| 2025-03-01 | STL 4 - 1 LAK | STL | STL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 01:47 | LAK | Goal |
| 3 | 02:18 | STL | Goal |
| 4 | 01:50 | LAK | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 51.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
St. Louis Blues 1 - 2 Los Angeles Kings
Expected: 2.9 - 3.0