Anaheim Ducks at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2025-10-21 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 2 - 5 Anaheim Ducks

🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

NSH: 51.9%

ANA: 48.1%

Expected Goals

NSH: 2.91

ANA: 3.17

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 42%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

ANA

Lukas Dostal - 13-9-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.15 GAA

Stat	NSH	ANA
Season SV%	0.897	0.888
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.93	3.15

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Juuse Saros	32	27	5	84.4%	3.78	4	-1.22
ANA	Lukas Dostal	28	26	2	92.9%	1.88	0	-0.12

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 22% • NSH at home vs ANA: 0-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-16	NSH 4 - 5 ANA	ANA	ANA
2026-04-07	ANA 0 - 5 NSH	NSH	ANA
2025-10-21	NSH 2 - 5 ANA	ANA	NSH
2025-03-20	NSH 1 - 4 ANA	ANA	NSH
2025-03-14	ANA 2 - 1 NSH	ANA	NSH

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	17	0	0.79
1	ANA	20	1	1.40
2	NSH	19	0	0.82
2	ANA	21	1	1.44
3	NSH	6	0	0.27
3	ANA	10	2	0.94

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown