Columbus Blue Jackets at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions
2025-10-21 • American Airlines Center
Dallas Stars 1 - 5 Columbus Blue Jackets
🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DAL: 52.9%
CBJ: 47.1%
Expected Goals
DAL: 3.33
CBJ: 3.30
Total Goals
Median: 6.9
Over 5.5: 65%
Over 6.5: 53%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 23-10-4 | 0.897 SV% | 2.73 GAA
CBJ
Jet Greaves - 18-12-6 | 0.910 SV% | 2.62 GAA
| Stat | DAL | CBJ |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.909 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.860 | 0.928 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.857 | 1.000 |
| GAA | 2.57 | 2.62 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • DAL at home vs CBJ: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-22 | CBJ 1 - 0 DAL | CBJ | CBJ |
| 2025-10-21 | DAL 1 - 5 CBJ | CBJ | DAL |
| 2025-02-25 | CBJ 6 - 4 DAL | CBJ | CBJ |
| 2025-02-02 | DAL 5 - 3 CBJ | DAL | DAL |
| 2023-11-09 | CBJ 2 - 5 DAL | DAL | CBJ |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:42 | CBJ | Goal |
| 1 | 04:33 | CBJ | Goal |
| 2 | 11:58 | CBJ | Goal |
| 3 | 17:00 | CBJ | Goal |
| 3 | 14:26 | CBJ | Goal |
| 3 | 07:21 | CBJ | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 52.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.6
Score Breakdown
Dallas Stars 1 - 5 Columbus Blue Jackets
Expected: 3.3 - 3.3