Colorado Avalanche at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions
2025-10-21 • Delta Center
Utah Hockey Club 4 - 3 Colorado Avalanche (OT)
🚨 Upset Win (57% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
UTA: 42.6%
COL: 57.4%
Expected Goals
UTA: 3.31
COL: 3.86
Total Goals
Median: 9.0
Over 5.5: 89%
Over 6.5: 82%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
UTA
Karel Vejmelka - 38-20-3 | 0.896 SV% | 2.75 GAA
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 31-6-6 | 0.921 SV% | 2.02 GAA
| Stat | UTA | COL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.895 | 0.919 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.881 | 0.968 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.895 | 0.945 |
| GAA | 2.68 | 2.13 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 57% • UTA at home vs COL: 1-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-25 | UTA 2 - 4 COL | COL | COL |
| 2025-12-23 | COL 1 - 0 UTA | COL | COL |
| 2025-10-21 | UTA 4 - 3 COL | UTA | COL |
| 2025-10-09 | COL 2 - 1 UTA | COL | UTA |
| 2024-12-27 | UTA 1 - 4 COL | COL | COL |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 57.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 7.2
Score Breakdown
Utah Hockey Club 4 - 3 Colorado Avalanche
Expected: 3.3 - 3.9
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