Colorado Avalanche at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions

2025-10-21 • Delta Center

Utah Hockey Club 4 - 3 Colorado Avalanche (OT)

Win Probability

UTA: 61.2%

COL: 38.8%

Expected Goals

UTA: 3.12

COL: 2.96

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 71% • UTA at home vs COL: 1-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-25	UTA 2 - 4 COL	COL	COL
2025-12-23	COL 1 - 0 UTA	COL	COL
2025-10-21	UTA 4 - 3 COL	UTA	UTA
2025-10-09	COL 2 - 1 UTA	COL	COL
2024-12-27	UTA 1 - 4 COL	COL	UTA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	UTA	12	0	0.76
1	COL	17	0	0.99
2	UTA	17	2	1.31
2	COL	11	0	0.56
3	UTA	14	1	0.81
3	COL	17	0	0.76
4	UTA	1	0	0.09
4	COL	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Utah Hockey Club 4 - 3 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 3.1 - 3.0