BUF vs DET - 2025-10-22
2025-10-22 • KeyBank Center
BUF 4 - 2 DET
🚨 Upset Win (50% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BUF: 49.7%
DET: 50.3%
Expected Goals
BUF: 3.09
DET: 2.58
Total Goals
Median: 5.6
Over 5.5: 52%
Over 6.5: 35%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BUF
Alex Lyon - 10-6-3 | 0.906 SV% | 2.82 GAA
DET
John Gibson - 17-9-1 | 0.903 SV% | 2.75 GAA
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 03:00 | DET | Goal |
| 2 | 11:37 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 16:28 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 18:20 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 04:15 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 08:10 | BUF | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 50.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 5.7
Score Breakdown
BUF 4 - 2 DET
Expected: 3.1 - 2.6