Detroit Red Wings at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions
2025-10-22 • KeyBank Center
Buffalo Sabres 4 - 2 Detroit Red Wings
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BUF: 52.6%
DET: 47.4%
Expected Goals
BUF: 3.17
DET: 2.68
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 41%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BUF
Alex Lyon - 14-8-3 | 0.913 SV% | 2.72 GAA
DET
John Gibson - 22-12-2 | 0.904 SV% | 2.62 GAA
| Stat | BUF | DET |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.893 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.934 | 0.887 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.845 |
| GAA | 2.82 | 2.97 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • BUF at home vs DET: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-15 | DET 4 - 5 BUF | BUF | DET |
| 2025-10-22 | BUF 4 - 2 DET | BUF | BUF |
| 2025-03-12 | DET 7 - 3 BUF | DET | DET |
| 2024-12-09 | BUF 5 - 6 DET | DET | BUF |
| 2024-11-02 | DET 2 - 1 BUF | DET | DET |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 18:20 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 16:28 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 11:37 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 03:00 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 08:10 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 04:15 | BUF | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 52.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
Buffalo Sabres 4 - 2 Detroit Red Wings
Expected: 3.2 - 2.7