Detroit Red Wings at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions

2025-10-22 • KeyBank Center

Buffalo Sabres 4 - 2 Detroit Red Wings

Win Probability

BUF: 58.0%

DET: 42.0%

Expected Goals

BUF: 3.03

DET: 3.11

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • BUF at home vs DET: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-27	BUF 2 - 5 DET	DET	BUF
2025-11-15	DET 4 - 5 BUF	BUF	BUF
2025-10-22	BUF 4 - 2 DET	BUF	BUF
2025-03-12	DET 7 - 3 BUF	DET	BUF
2024-12-09	BUF 5 - 6 DET	DET	BUF

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BUF	19	1	2.05
1	DET	8	0	0.48
2	BUF	21	0	1.17
2	DET	22	1	1.08
3	BUF	14	0	1.01
3	DET	21	2	2.05

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Buffalo Sabres 4 - 2 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.0 - 3.1