Anaheim Ducks at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions
2025-10-23 • TD Garden
Boston Bruins 5 - 7 Anaheim Ducks
🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BOS: 50.9%
ANA: 49.1%
Expected Goals
BOS: 2.87
ANA: 3.14
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 41%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 22-12-3 | 0.903 SV% | 2.92 GAA
ANA
Lukas Dostal - 22-13-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.98 GAA
| Stat | BOS | ANA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.903 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.889 | 0.904 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.923 |
| GAA | 2.84 | 3.15 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • BOS at home vs ANA: 0-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-19 | ANA 4 - 3 BOS | ANA | ANA |
| 2025-10-23 | BOS 5 - 7 ANA | ANA | BOS |
| 2025-03-26 | ANA 6 - 2 BOS | ANA | ANA |
| 2025-02-22 | BOS 2 - 3 ANA | ANA | BOS |
| 2023-10-26 | BOS 3 - 4 ANA | ANA | BOS |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:06 | BOS | Goal |
| 1 | 02:10 | BOS | Goal |
| 2 | 17:10 | BOS | Goal |
| 2 | 15:24 | ANA | Goal |
| 2 | 11:29 | BOS | Goal |
| 2 | 08:49 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 17:52 | ANA | Goal |
| 3 | 15:27 | ANA | Goal |
| 3 | 14:57 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 14:32 | ANA | Goal |
| 3 | 07:49 | ANA | Goal |
| 3 | 02:52 | ANA | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 50.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 12.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Boston Bruins 5 - 7 Anaheim Ducks
Expected: 2.9 - 3.1