Pittsburgh Penguins at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2025-10-23 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 3 - 5 Pittsburgh Penguins

🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)

Win Probability

FLA: 50.9%

PIT: 49.1%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.78

PIT: 2.99

Total Goals

Median: 8.3

Over 5.5: 79%

Over 6.5: 70%

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 27-23-1 | 0.877 SV% | 3.07 GAA

PIT

Stuart Skinner - 23-17-9 | 0.888 SV% | 2.92 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 89% • FLA at home vs PIT: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-05	PIT 5 - 2 FLA	PIT	PIT
2026-04-04	PIT 9 - 4 FLA	PIT	PIT
2025-10-23	FLA 3 - 5 PIT	PIT	FLA
2025-03-23	FLA 4 - 3 PIT	FLA	FLA
2025-01-03	FLA 3 - 2 PIT	FLA	FLA

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 3 - 5 Pittsburgh Penguins

Expected: 3.8 - 3.0