Pittsburgh Penguins at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2025-10-23 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 3 - 5 Pittsburgh Penguins

Win Probability

FLA: 49.4%

PIT: 50.6%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.10

PIT: 3.79

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • FLA at home vs PIT: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-05	PIT 5 - 2 FLA	PIT	PIT
2026-04-04	PIT 9 - 4 FLA	PIT	PIT
2025-10-23	FLA 3 - 5 PIT	PIT	PIT
2025-03-23	FLA 4 - 3 PIT	FLA	FLA
2025-01-03	FLA 3 - 2 PIT	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	13	1	0.71
1	PIT	14	0	0.39
2	FLA	22	0	1.32
2	PIT	10	1	0.77
3	FLA	26	2	2.71
3	PIT	10	2	1.72

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.9

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 3 - 5 Pittsburgh Penguins

Expected: 3.1 - 3.8