San Jose Sharks at New York Rangers NHL Predictions
2025-10-23 • Madison Square Garden
New York Rangers 5 - 6 San Jose Sharks (OT)
🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYR: 55.4%
SJS: 44.6%
Expected Goals
NYR: 3.32
SJS: 2.47
Total Goals
Median: 5.5
Over 5.5: 49%
Over 6.5: 32%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 17-12-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.45 GAA
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 17-15-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.53 GAA
| Stat | NYR | SJS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.896 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.942 | 0.874 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.750 | — |
| GAA | 2.51 | 3.36 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NYR at home vs SJS: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-23 | SJS 3 - 1 NYR | SJS | SJS |
| 2025-10-23 | NYR 5 - 6 SJS | SJS | NYR |
| 2025-03-29 | SJS 1 - 6 NYR | NYR | SJS |
| 2024-11-14 | NYR 3 - 2 SJS | NYR | NYR |
| 2024-01-23 | SJS 3 - 2 NYR | SJS | SJS |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:58 | SJS | Goal |
| 1 | 06:17 | SJS | Goal |
| 1 | 14:19 | SJS | Goal |
| 1 | 19:51 | SJS | Goal |
| 2 | 04:04 | SJS | Goal |
| 2 | 06:47 | NYR | Goal |
| 2 | 12:10 | NYR | Goal |
| 2 | 19:54 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 06:31 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 11:50 | NYR | Goal |
| 4 | 01:38 | SJS | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 55.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 11.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
New York Rangers 5 - 6 San Jose Sharks
Expected: 3.3 - 2.5