NYR vs SJS - 2025-10-23
2025-10-23 • Madison Square Garden
NYR 5 - 6 SJS
🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYR: 61.0%
SJS: 39.0%
Expected Goals
NYR: 3.42
SJS: 3.37
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 66%
Over 6.5: 49%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 17-12-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.45 GAA
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 16-11-1 | 0.890 SV% | 3.54 GAA
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:58 | SJS | Goal |
| 1 | 06:17 | SJS | Goal |
| 1 | 14:19 | SJS | Goal |
| 1 | 19:51 | SJS | Goal |
| 2 | 04:04 | SJS | Goal |
| 2 | 06:47 | NYR | Goal |
| 2 | 12:10 | NYR | Goal |
| 2 | 19:54 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 06:31 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 11:50 | NYR | Goal |
| 4 | 01:38 | SJS | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 61.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 11.0
Expected: 6.8
Score Breakdown
NYR 5 - 6 SJS
Expected: 3.4 - 3.4