Utah Hockey Club at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions
2025-10-23 • Enterprise Center
St. Louis Blues 4 - 7 Utah Hockey Club
🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
STL: 52.0%
UTA: 48.0%
Expected Goals
STL: 2.93
UTA: 3.13
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 56%
Over 6.5: 39%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
STL
Jordan Binnington - 8-17-6 | 0.864 SV% | 3.65 GAA
UTA
Karel Vejmelka - 27-15-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.61 GAA
| Stat | STL | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.869 | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.826 | 0.897 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.833 | 0.896 |
| GAA | 3.56 | 2.68 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 57% • STL at home vs UTA: 2-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-09 | UTA 4 - 2 STL | UTA | UTA |
| 2025-11-29 | STL 1 - 0 UTA | STL | STL |
| 2025-10-23 | STL 4 - 7 UTA | UTA | STL |
| 2025-04-15 | STL 6 - 1 UTA | STL | STL |
| 2025-02-02 | UTA 1 - 2 STL | STL | UTA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10:55 | UTA | Goal |
| 1 | 07:57 | UTA | Goal |
| 1 | 06:07 | UTA | Goal |
| 1 | 03:18 | UTA | Goal |
| 2 | 19:24 | UTA | Goal |
| 2 | 07:13 | UTA | Goal |
| 2 | 05:58 | UTA | Goal |
| 3 | 18:20 | UTA | Goal |
| 3 | 09:51 | UTA | Goal |
| 3 | 05:43 | UTA | Goal |
| 3 | 02:19 | UTA | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 52.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 11.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
St. Louis Blues 4 - 7 Utah Hockey Club
Expected: 2.9 - 3.1