Vancouver Canucks at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2025-10-23 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 2 - 1 Vancouver Canucks

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

NSH: 65.8%

VAN: 34.2%

Expected Goals

NSH: 3.26

VAN: 2.77

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 38%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

VAN

Thatcher Demko - 8-8-0 | 0.905 SV% | 2.72 GAA

Stat	NSH	VAN
Season SV%	0.897	0.905
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.93	2.72

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Juuse Saros	22	21	1	95.5%	2.51	1	1.51
VAN	Thatcher Demko	35	33	2	94.3%	2.00	1	-0.00

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • NSH at home vs VAN: 1-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-12	VAN 4 - 3 NSH	VAN	VAN
2025-11-03	NSH 4 - 5 VAN	VAN	NSH
2025-10-23	NSH 2 - 1 VAN	NSH	NSH
2025-01-29	NSH 1 - 3 VAN	VAN	NSH
2025-01-03	VAN 0 - 3 NSH	NSH	NSH

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	12	0	0.28
1	VAN	11	0	1.07
2	NSH	15	0	0.85
2	VAN	11	0	0.68
3	NSH	11	1	0.87
3	VAN	10	1	0.75

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 65.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown