Seattle Kraken at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2025-10-23 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 0 - 3 Seattle Kraken

🚨 Upset Loss (66% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

WPG: 65.9%

SEA: 34.1%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.01

SEA: 2.89

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 51%

Over 6.5: 37%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

SEA

Joey Daccord - 10-9-5 | 0.903 SV% | 2.77 GAA

Stat	WPG	SEA
Season SV%	0.907	0.903
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.51	2.77

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	28	25	3	89.3%	3.09	3	0.09
SEA	Joey Daccord	32	32	0	100.0%	1.93	1	1.93

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • WPG at home vs SEA: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-06	WPG 6 - 2 SEA	WPG	WPG
2025-11-13	SEA 5 - 3 WPG	SEA	SEA
2025-10-23	WPG 0 - 3 SEA	SEA	WPG
2025-03-16	SEA 2 - 3 WPG	WPG	WPG
2025-01-16	WPG 2 - 1 SEA	WPG	WPG

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	19	0	0.72
1	SEA	13	0	0.44
2	WPG	11	1	0.70
2	SEA	15	1	0.78
3	WPG	17	0	0.52
3	SEA	11	2	1.88

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 65.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown