Carolina Hurricanes at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2025-10-23 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 4 - 5 Carolina Hurricanes (SO)

Win Probability

COL: 46.9%

CAR: 53.1%

Expected Goals

COL: 3.47

CAR: 3.52

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • COL at home vs CAR: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-03	CAR 3 - 5 COL	COL	CAR
2025-10-23	COL 4 - 5 CAR	CAR	CAR
2024-12-05	CAR 5 - 3 COL	CAR	CAR
2024-11-09	COL 6 - 4 CAR	COL	CAR
2024-02-08	CAR 5 - 2 COL	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	26	2	2.17
1	CAR	14	2	1.36
2	COL	22	1	1.58
2	CAR	7	0	0.24
3	COL	16	1	1.49
3	CAR	16	0	0.77
4	COL	5	0	0.32
4	CAR	4	0	0.38
5	COL	3	0	0.23
5	CAR	3	1	1.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 7.0

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 4 - 5 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 3.5 - 3.5