Carolina Hurricanes at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions
2025-10-23 • Ball Arena
Colorado Avalanche 4 - 5 Carolina Hurricanes (SO)
🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
COL: 53.0%
CAR: 47.0%
Expected Goals
COL: 3.01
CAR: 2.52
Total Goals
Median: 5.4
Over 5.5: 49%
Over 6.5: 32%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 21-4-5 | 0.913 SV% | 2.29 GAA
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 23-3-1 | 0.906 SV% | 2.16 GAA
| Stat | COL | CAR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.919 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.891 | 0.915 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.821 | — |
| GAA | 2.13 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • COL at home vs CAR: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-03 | CAR 3 - 5 COL | COL | CAR |
| 2025-10-23 | COL 4 - 5 CAR | CAR | COL |
| 2024-12-05 | CAR 5 - 3 COL | CAR | CAR |
| 2024-11-09 | COL 6 - 4 CAR | COL | COL |
| 2024-02-08 | CAR 5 - 2 COL | CAR | CAR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:07 | CAR | Goal |
| 1 | 04:04 | COL | Goal |
| 1 | 07:17 | CAR | Goal |
| 1 | 12:41 | CAR | Goal |
| 1 | 13:40 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 04:46 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 04:45 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 14:09 | COL | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | COL | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 53.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 5.5
Score Breakdown
Colorado Avalanche 4 - 5 Carolina Hurricanes
Expected: 3.0 - 2.5