Montreal Canadiens at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions
2025-10-23 • Rogers Place
Edmonton Oilers 6 - 5 Montreal Canadiens
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
EDM: 53.7%
MTL: 46.3%
Expected Goals
EDM: 3.68
MTL: 2.90
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 67%
Over 6.5: 47%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 15-7-2 | 0.890 SV% | 3.18 GAA
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 18-5-4 | 0.892 SV% | 2.96 GAA
| Stat | EDM | MTL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.889 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.841 | 0.903 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.862 | 0.964 |
| GAA | 2.73 | 3.01 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • EDM at home vs MTL: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 | MTL 4 - 1 EDM | MTL | MTL |
| 2025-10-23 | EDM 6 - 5 MTL | EDM | EDM |
| 2025-03-06 | EDM 3 - 2 MTL | EDM | EDM |
| 2024-11-18 | MTL 3 - 0 EDM | MTL | MTL |
| 2024-03-19 | EDM 3 - 2 MTL | EDM | EDM |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16:12 | EDM | Goal |
| 1 | 07:28 | MTL | Goal |
| 2 | 18:49 | MTL | Goal |
| 2 | 18:00 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 16:57 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 13:28 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 10:37 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 18:51 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 12:17 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 11:19 | MTL | Goal |
| 3 | 02:10 | MTL | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 53.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 11.0
Expected: 6.6
Score Breakdown
Edmonton Oilers 6 - 5 Montreal Canadiens
Expected: 3.7 - 2.9