Montreal Canadiens at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions
2025-10-23 • Rogers Place
Edmonton Oilers 6 - 5 Montreal Canadiens
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
EDM: 67.3%
MTL: 32.7%
Expected Goals
EDM: 3.38
MTL: 2.89
Total Goals
Median: 5.9
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 46%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • EDM at home vs MTL: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 | MTL 4 - 1 EDM | MTL | MTL |
| 2025-10-23 | EDM 6 - 5 MTL | EDM | EDM |
| 2025-03-06 | EDM 3 - 2 MTL | EDM | EDM |
| 2024-11-18 | MTL 3 - 0 EDM | MTL | EDM |
| 2024-03-19 | EDM 3 - 2 MTL | EDM | EDM |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EDM | 10 | 0 | 0.88 |
| 1 | MTL | 21 | 2 | 2.28 |
| 2 | EDM | 14 | 2 | 1.39 |
| 2 | MTL | 15 | 1 | 1.26 |
| 3 | EDM | 20 | 2 | 1.74 |
| 3 | MTL | 7 | 1 | 0.76 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 67.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 11.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Edmonton Oilers 6 - 5 Montreal Canadiens
Expected: 3.4 - 2.9
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