Vegas Golden Knights at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2025-10-25 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 3 - 0 Vegas Golden Knights

🚨 Upset Win (52% underdog)

Win Probability

FLA: 48.5%

VGK: 51.5%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.22

VGK: 1.91

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • FLA at home vs VGK: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-10	VGK 2 - 3 FLA	FLA	FLA
2025-10-25	FLA 3 - 0 VGK	FLA	VGK
2025-01-26	VGK 4 - 1 FLA	VGK	VGK
2024-10-19	FLA 4 - 3 VGK	FLA	FLA
2024-01-04	VGK 1 - 4 FLA	FLA	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	9	1	0.55
1	VGK	11	0	0.59
2	FLA	20	2	1.88
2	VGK	11	0	0.42
3	FLA	14	0	0.84
3	VGK	11	0	0.35

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.1

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 3 - 0 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 3.2 - 1.9