Utah Hockey Club at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions
2025-10-25 • Grand Casino Arena
Minnesota Wild 2 - 6 Utah Hockey Club
🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MIN: 53.1%
UTA: 46.9%
Expected Goals
MIN: 3.19
UTA: 3.14
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 62%
Over 6.5: 48%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 20-9-6 | 0.906 SV% | 2.64 GAA
UTA
Karel Vejmelka - 27-15-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.61 GAA
| Stat | MIN | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.912 | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.895 | 0.897 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.875 | 0.943 |
| GAA | 2.47 | 2.68 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 20% • MIN at home vs UTA: 0-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-25 | MIN 2 - 6 UTA | UTA | MIN |
| 2025-02-27 | UTA 6 - 1 MIN | UTA | UTA |
| 2025-01-23 | MIN 0 - 4 UTA | UTA | MIN |
| 2024-12-20 | MIN 1 - 2 UTA | UTA | MIN |
| 2024-12-10 | UTA 4 - 5 MIN | MIN | UTA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15:39 | UTA | Goal |
| 1 | 04:58 | UTA | Goal |
| 1 | 03:29 | UTA | Goal |
| 1 | 00:56 | UTA | Goal |
| 2 | 15:43 | UTA | Goal |
| 3 | 19:54 | UTA | Goal |
| 3 | 15:13 | UTA | Goal |
| 3 | 13:37 | UTA | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 53.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Minnesota Wild 2 - 6 Utah Hockey Club
Expected: 3.2 - 3.1