St. Louis Blues at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2025-10-25 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 6 - 4 St. Louis Blues

🚨 Upset Win (52% underdog)

Win Probability

DET: 47.5%

STL: 52.5%

Expected Goals

DET: 3.79

STL: 3.12

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 17% • DET at home vs STL: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-10-28	STL 2 - 5 DET	DET	STL
2025-10-25	DET 6 - 4 STL	DET	STL
2025-04-01	STL 2 - 1 DET	STL	STL
2024-12-23	DET 0 - 4 STL	STL	DET
2024-02-24	DET 6 - 1 STL	DET	STL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	7	0	0.46
1	STL	18	2	1.43
2	DET	17	2	0.96
2	STL	15	1	1.68
3	DET	14	2	1.25
3	STL	11	2	1.03

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 6.9

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 6 - 4 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.8 - 3.1