Columbus Blue Jackets at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions

2025-10-25 • PPG Paints Arena

Pittsburgh Penguins 4 - 5 Columbus Blue Jackets (SO)

Win Probability

PIT: 39.3%

CBJ: 60.7%

Expected Goals

PIT: 3.43

CBJ: 4.32

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • PIT at home vs CBJ: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-17	PIT 3 - 4 CBJ	CBJ	PIT
2026-01-04	CBJ 4 - 5 PIT	PIT	PIT
2025-11-28	CBJ 3 - 4 PIT	PIT	CBJ
2025-10-25	PIT 4 - 5 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2025-03-21	PIT 6 - 3 CBJ	PIT	PIT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PIT	9	0	0.43
1	CBJ	25	3	2.05
2	PIT	14	0	0.88
2	CBJ	13	0	0.69
3	PIT	20	0	1.27
3	CBJ	17	1	1.28
4	PIT	2	0	0.08
4	CBJ	4	0	0.46
5	PIT	3	2	1.93
5	CBJ	3	3	2.69

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 7.7

Score Breakdown

Pittsburgh Penguins 4 - 5 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 3.4 - 4.3