Montreal Canadiens at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2025-10-25 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 3 - 4 Montreal Canadiens

Win Probability

VAN: 37.1%

MTL: 62.9%

Expected Goals

VAN: 2.35

MTL: 3.35

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • VAN at home vs MTL: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-12	MTL 6 - 3 VAN	MTL	MTL
2025-10-25	VAN 3 - 4 MTL	MTL	MTL
2025-03-11	VAN 2 - 4 MTL	MTL	VAN
2025-01-06	MTL 5 - 4 VAN	MTL	MTL
2024-03-21	VAN 4 - 1 MTL	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	19	0	0.99
1	MTL	7	0	0.27
2	VAN	14	0	0.82
2	MTL	24	3	1.66
3	VAN	18	1	0.94
3	MTL	11	1	1.26

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 3 - 4 Montreal Canadiens

Expected: 2.3 - 3.3