Colorado Avalanche at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2025-10-26 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 4 - 3 Colorado Avalanche (OT)

🚨 Upset Win (52% underdog)

Win Probability

NJD: 48.5%

COL: 51.5%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.05

COL: 3.54

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NJD at home vs COL: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-10-28	COL 8 - 4 NJD	COL	COL
2025-10-26	NJD 4 - 3 COL	NJD	COL
2025-02-26	COL 5 - 1 NJD	COL	COL
2024-12-08	NJD 0 - 4 COL	COL	NJD
2024-02-06	NJD 5 - 3 COL	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	17	1	0.98
1	COL	15	2	1.25
2	NJD	8	1	0.65
2	COL	22	1	1.31
3	NJD	13	1	0.83
3	COL	9	2	0.94
4	NJD	3	0	0.28
4	COL	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 4 - 3 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 3.1 - 3.5