San Jose Sharks at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions
2025-10-26 • Grand Casino Arena
Minnesota Wild 5 - 6 San Jose Sharks (OT)
🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MIN: 56.0%
SJS: 44.0%
Expected Goals
MIN: 3.13
SJS: 2.66
Total Goals
Median: 5.7
Over 5.5: 53%
Over 6.5: 38%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 20-9-6 | 0.906 SV% | 2.64 GAA
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 17-15-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.53 GAA
| Stat | MIN | SJS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.912 | 0.896 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.895 | 0.874 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.889 | 0.894 |
| GAA | 2.47 | 3.36 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • MIN at home vs SJS: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-31 | SJS 4 - 3 MIN | SJS | SJS |
| 2025-11-11 | MIN 1 - 2 SJS | SJS | MIN |
| 2025-10-26 | MIN 5 - 6 SJS | SJS | MIN |
| 2025-04-09 | MIN 8 - 7 SJS | MIN | MIN |
| 2025-01-11 | SJS 1 - 3 MIN | MIN | SJS |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17:34 | MIN | Goal |
| 1 | 17:02 | SJS | Goal |
| 1 | 13:35 | SJS | Goal |
| 1 | 05:28 | SJS | Goal |
| 2 | 11:34 | SJS | Goal |
| 2 | 11:15 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 17:42 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 08:28 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 07:52 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 04:28 | SJS | Goal |
| 4 | 03:47 | SJS | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 56.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 11.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
Minnesota Wild 5 - 6 San Jose Sharks
Expected: 3.1 - 2.7