San Jose Sharks at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2025-10-26 • Grand Casino Arena

Minnesota Wild 5 - 6 San Jose Sharks (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)

Win Probability

MIN: 51.2%

SJS: 48.8%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.64

SJS: 2.95

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • MIN at home vs SJS: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-31	SJS 4 - 3 MIN	SJS	MIN
2025-11-11	MIN 1 - 2 SJS	SJS	MIN
2025-10-26	MIN 5 - 6 SJS	SJS	MIN
2025-04-09	MIN 8 - 7 SJS	MIN	MIN
2025-01-11	SJS 1 - 3 MIN	MIN	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	14	0	0.96
1	SJS	13	1	1.30
2	MIN	13	0	0.79
2	SJS	12	2	1.23
3	MIN	26	0	1.49
3	SJS	6	0	0.64
4	MIN	4	0	0.43
4	SJS	1	0	0.12

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 5 - 6 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 3.6 - 3.0