Utah Hockey Club at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions
2025-10-26 • Canada Life Centre
Winnipeg Jets 2 - 3 Utah Hockey Club
🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WPG: 55.1%
UTA: 44.9%
Expected Goals
WPG: 3.29
UTA: 3.44
Total Goals
Median: 6.5
Over 5.5: 65%
Over 6.5: 49%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 13-16-7 | 0.900 SV% | 2.79 GAA
UTA
Karel Vejmelka - 27-15-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.61 GAA
| Stat | WPG | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.879 | 0.897 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.870 | 0.885 |
| GAA | 2.51 | 2.68 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • WPG at home vs UTA: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-21 | UTA 4 - 3 WPG | UTA | UTA |
| 2025-10-26 | WPG 2 - 3 UTA | UTA | WPG |
| 2025-04-05 | UTA 4 - 1 WPG | UTA | UTA |
| 2025-01-24 | WPG 5 - 2 UTA | WPG | WPG |
| 2025-01-20 | UTA 5 - 2 WPG | UTA | UTA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 15:09 | WPG | Goal |
| 2 | 11:07 | UTA | Goal |
| 2 | 10:03 | WPG | Goal |
| 2 | 00:45 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 14:24 | UTA | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 55.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.7
Score Breakdown
Winnipeg Jets 2 - 3 Utah Hockey Club
Expected: 3.3 - 3.4