Los Angeles Kings at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2025-10-26 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 1 - 3 Los Angeles Kings

🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

CHI: 52.4%

LAK: 47.6%

Expected Goals

CHI: 2.96

LAK: 2.93

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 48%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

CHI

Arvid Soderblom - 4-7-1 | 0.873 SV% | 4.02 GAA

LAK

Anton Forsberg - 6-6-3 | 0.901 SV% | 2.70 GAA

Stat	CHI	LAK
Season SV%	0.873	0.901
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	4.02	2.70

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	Arvid Soderblom	22	19	3	86.4%	2.98	2	-0.02
LAK	Anton Forsberg	23	22	1	95.7%	1.82	1	0.82

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • CHI at home vs LAK: 2-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-06	LAK 6 - 0 CHI	LAK	LAK
2025-12-04	LAK 1 - 2 CHI	CHI	LAK
2025-10-26	CHI 1 - 3 LAK	LAK	CHI
2025-03-20	CHI 1 - 3 LAK	LAK	LAK
2025-03-03	CHI 5 - 1 LAK	CHI	LAK

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	14	1	0.86
1	LAK	10	0	0.50
2	CHI	8	0	0.21
2	LAK	15	0	0.95
3	CHI	11	0	0.75
3	LAK	12	2	1.53

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown