Edmonton Oilers at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2025-10-26 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 4 - 3 Edmonton Oilers (OT)

🚨 Upset Win (56% underdog)

Win Probability

VAN: 44.1%

EDM: 55.9%

Expected Goals

VAN: 2.54

EDM: 3.45

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • VAN at home vs EDM: 6-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-16	EDM 6 - 1 VAN	EDM	EDM
2026-01-17	VAN 0 - 6 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-10-26	VAN 4 - 3 EDM	VAN	EDM
2025-10-11	EDM 3 - 1 VAN	EDM	EDM
2025-01-23	EDM 6 - 2 VAN	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	11	1	0.67
1	EDM	18	0	1.15
2	VAN	15	0	1.00
2	EDM	14	0	0.88
3	VAN	13	0	0.62
3	EDM	12	1	0.74
4	VAN	1	1	0.22
4	EDM	1	0	0.10

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 4 - 3 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 2.5 - 3.5