Columbus Blue Jackets at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions
2025-10-28 • KeyBank Center
Buffalo Sabres 3 - 4 Columbus Blue Jackets (OT)
🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BUF: 51.0%
CBJ: 49.0%
Expected Goals
BUF: 3.34
CBJ: 3.66
Total Goals
Median: 8.6
Over 5.5: 88%
Over 6.5: 78%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BUF
Alex Lyon - 20-10-4 | 0.906 SV% | 2.77 GAA
CBJ
Jet Greaves - 26-19-9 | 0.908 SV% | 2.60 GAA
| Stat | BUF | CBJ |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.909 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.847 | 0.888 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.897 | 0.915 |
| GAA | 2.82 | 2.62 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • BUF at home vs CBJ: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-09 | BUF 5 - 0 CBJ | BUF | BUF |
| 2026-01-03 | CBJ 5 - 1 BUF | CBJ | CBJ |
| 2025-10-28 | BUF 3 - 4 CBJ | CBJ | BUF |
| 2025-04-10 | CBJ 3 - 2 BUF | CBJ | BUF |
| 2025-02-04 | BUF 3 - 2 CBJ | BUF | BUF |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 51.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 7.0
Score Breakdown
Buffalo Sabres 3 - 4 Columbus Blue Jackets
Expected: 3.3 - 3.7
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