Vegas Golden Knights at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions
2025-10-28 • Lenovo Center
Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 6 Vegas Golden Knights
🚨 Upset Loss (62% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CAR: 62.0%
VGK: 38.0%
Expected Goals
CAR: 3.48
VGK: 2.61
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 43%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 31-6-2 | 0.894 SV% | 2.47 GAA
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-10-6 | 0.893 SV% | 2.59 GAA
| Stat | CAR | VGK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.887 | 0.879 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.915 |
| GAA | 2.33 | 2.50 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CAR at home vs VGK: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-28 | CAR 3 - 6 VGK | VGK | CAR |
| 2025-10-20 | VGK 4 - 1 CAR | VGK | CAR |
| 2025-01-17 | CAR 3 - 2 VGK | CAR | CAR |
| 2024-11-11 | VGK 2 - 5 CAR | CAR | CAR |
| 2024-02-17 | VGK 1 - 3 CAR | CAR | CAR |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 62.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 6 Vegas Golden Knights
Expected: 3.5 - 2.6
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