CAR vs VGK - 2025-10-28
2025-10-28 • Lenovo Center
CAR 3 - 6 VGK
🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CAR: 57.5%
VGK: 42.5%
Expected Goals
CAR: 4.47
VGK: 2.77
Total Goals
Median: 7.0
Over 5.5: 71%
Over 6.5: 55%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CAR
Frederik Andersen - 6-10-3 | 0.863 SV% | 3.37 GAA
VGK
Akira Schmid - 13-4-5 | 0.895 SV% | 2.49 GAA
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:46 | CAR | Goal |
| 1 | 06:27 | CAR | Goal |
| 1 | 18:03 | VGK | Goal |
| 2 | 12:07 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 02:31 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 06:10 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 15:01 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 17:36 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 19:38 | VGK | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 57.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 7.2
Score Breakdown
CAR 3 - 6 VGK
Expected: 4.5 - 2.8