Winnipeg Jets at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions
2025-10-28 • Grand Casino Arena
Minnesota Wild 3 - 4 Winnipeg Jets (OT)
🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MIN: 54.2%
WPG: 45.8%
Expected Goals
MIN: 3.33
WPG: 3.35
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 62%
Over 6.5: 46%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 20-9-6 | 0.906 SV% | 2.64 GAA
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 13-16-7 | 0.900 SV% | 2.79 GAA
| Stat | MIN | WPG |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.912 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.895 | 0.879 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.867 | 0.898 |
| GAA | 2.47 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 36% • MIN at home vs WPG: 0-5
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-15 | MIN 2 - 6 WPG | WPG | MIN |
| 2025-12-27 | WPG 3 - 4 MIN | MIN | WPG |
| 2025-11-23 | WPG 0 - 3 MIN | MIN | WPG |
| 2025-10-28 | MIN 3 - 4 WPG | WPG | MIN |
| 2024-12-21 | WPG 5 - 0 MIN | WPG | WPG |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12:38 | WPG | Goal |
| 1 | 12:16 | WPG | Goal |
| 2 | 13:12 | MIN | Goal |
| 2 | 06:03 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 11:35 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 03:48 | MIN | Goal |
| 4 | 00:46 | WPG | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 54.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.7
Score Breakdown
Minnesota Wild 3 - 4 Winnipeg Jets
Expected: 3.3 - 3.3