Detroit Red Wings at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions
2025-10-28 • Enterprise Center
St. Louis Blues 2 - 5 Detroit Red Wings
🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
STL: 51.8%
DET: 48.2%
Expected Goals
STL: 2.96
DET: 3.23
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 44%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
STL
Jordan Binnington - 8-17-6 | 0.864 SV% | 3.65 GAA
DET
John Gibson - 22-12-2 | 0.904 SV% | 2.62 GAA
| Stat | STL | DET |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.869 | 0.893 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.826 | 0.887 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.804 | 0.882 |
| GAA | 3.56 | 2.97 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • STL at home vs DET: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-28 | STL 2 - 5 DET | DET | STL |
| 2025-10-25 | DET 6 - 4 STL | DET | DET |
| 2025-04-01 | STL 2 - 1 DET | STL | STL |
| 2024-12-23 | DET 0 - 4 STL | STL | DET |
| 2024-02-24 | DET 6 - 1 STL | DET | DET |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:24 | DET | Goal |
| 1 | 12:01 | STL | Goal |
| 1 | 00:47 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 12:56 | DET | Goal |
| 2 | 11:14 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 18:53 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 15:36 | DET | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 51.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
St. Louis Blues 2 - 5 Detroit Red Wings
Expected: 3.0 - 3.2