Utah Hockey Club at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2025-10-28 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 6 - 3 Utah Hockey Club

Win Probability

EDM: 62.3%

UTA: 37.7%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.30

UTA: 3.18

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • EDM at home vs UTA: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-07	UTA 6 - 5 EDM	UTA	EDM
2026-03-24	UTA 2 - 5 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-10-28	EDM 6 - 3 UTA	EDM	EDM
2025-03-18	EDM 7 - 1 UTA	EDM	EDM
2024-12-31	EDM 4 - 1 UTA	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	8	0	0.42
1	UTA	15	0	1.19
2	EDM	18	1	1.52
2	UTA	8	0	0.63
3	EDM	10	1	0.99
3	UTA	15	3	1.44

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 6 - 3 Utah Hockey Club

Expected: 3.3 - 3.2