Utah Hockey Club at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2025-10-28 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 6 - 3 Utah Hockey Club

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

EDM: 63.4%

UTA: 36.6%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.36

UTA: 3.37

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 52%

Over 6.5: 37%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

EDM

Stuart Skinner - 26-18-4 | 0.896 SV% | 2.81 GAA

UTA

Karel Vejmelka - 17-10-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.68 GAA

Stat	EDM	UTA
Season SV%	0.896	0.895
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.81	2.68

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
EDM	Stuart Skinner	23	20	3	87.0%	3.26	3	0.26
UTA	Karel Vejmelka	24	18	6	75.0%	2.93	2	-3.07

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • EDM at home vs UTA: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-07	UTA 6 - 5 EDM	UTA	UTA
2026-03-24	UTA 2 - 5 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-10-28	EDM 6 - 3 UTA	EDM	EDM
2025-03-18	EDM 7 - 1 UTA	EDM	EDM
2024-12-31	EDM 4 - 1 UTA	EDM	EDM

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	8	0	0.42
1	UTA	15	0	1.19
2	EDM	18	1	1.52
2	UTA	8	0	0.63
3	EDM	10	1	0.99
3	UTA	15	3	1.44

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 63.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown