Los Angeles Kings at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions
2025-10-28 • SAP Center at San Jose
San Jose Sharks 3 - 4 Los Angeles Kings
🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SJS: 54.7%
LAK: 45.3%
Expected Goals
SJS: 3.02
LAK: 2.45
Total Goals
Median: 5.0
Over 5.5: 45%
Over 6.5: 33%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 17-15-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.53 GAA
LAK
Darcy Kuemper - 14-11-9 | 0.900 SV% | 2.59 GAA
| Stat | SJS | LAK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.896 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.874 | 0.866 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.865 | 0.897 |
| GAA | 3.36 | 2.27 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • SJS at home vs LAK: 3-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-07 | LAK 3 - 4 SJS | SJS | LAK |
| 2025-11-20 | SJS 4 - 3 LAK | SJS | SJS |
| 2025-10-28 | SJS 3 - 4 LAK | LAK | SJS |
| 2025-03-30 | LAK 8 - 1 SJS | LAK | LAK |
| 2024-11-25 | SJS 7 - 2 LAK | SJS | SJS |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10:54 | LAK | Goal |
| 2 | 17:16 | LAK | Goal |
| 2 | 15:33 | LAK | Goal |
| 2 | 06:43 | LAK | Goal |
| 2 | 03:21 | LAK | Goal |
| 3 | 13:20 | LAK | Goal |
| 3 | 04:48 | SJS | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 54.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.5
Score Breakdown
San Jose Sharks 3 - 4 Los Angeles Kings
Expected: 3.0 - 2.4