Buffalo Sabres at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2025-10-30 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 4 - 3 Buffalo Sabres (OT)

🚨 Upset Win (53% underdog)

Win Probability

BOS: 46.5%

BUF: 53.5%

Expected Goals

BOS: 3.13

BUF: 3.32

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 59% • BOS at home vs BUF: 3-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-01	BOS 1 - 4 BUF	BUF	BUF
2026-04-28	BUF 1 - 2 BOS	BOS	BUF
2026-04-26	BOS 1 - 6 BUF	BUF	BUF
2026-04-23	BOS 1 - 3 BUF	BUF	BUF
2026-04-21	BUF 2 - 4 BOS	BOS	BUF

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	11	1	1.07
1	BUF	18	1	1.18
2	BOS	15	1	0.89
2	BUF	26	3	2.28
3	BOS	10	0	0.44
3	BUF	17	1	0.97
4	BOS	4	0	0.36
4	BUF	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 4 - 3 Buffalo Sabres

Expected: 3.1 - 3.3