Calgary Flames at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions
2025-10-30 • Canadian Tire Centre
Ottawa Senators 4 - 3 Calgary Flames (SO)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
OTT: 55.6%
CGY: 44.4%
Expected Goals
OTT: 3.65
CGY: 2.90
Total Goals
Median: 6.5
Over 5.5: 65%
Over 6.5: 50%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
OTT
Linus Ullmark - 16-8-5 | 0.884 SV% | 2.86 GAA
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 16-21-3 | 0.895 SV% | 3.00 GAA
| Stat | OTT | CGY |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.881 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.882 | 0.877 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.897 | — |
| GAA | 2.95 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • OTT at home vs CGY: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-30 | OTT 4 - 3 CGY | OTT | OTT |
| 2024-12-19 | CGY 2 - 3 OTT | OTT | CGY |
| 2024-11-25 | OTT 4 - 3 CGY | OTT | OTT |
| 2024-01-09 | CGY 6 - 3 OTT | CGY | CGY |
| 2023-11-11 | OTT 4 - 1 CGY | OTT | OTT |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15:53 | CGY | Goal |
| 1 | 07:37 | OTT | Goal |
| 1 | 05:51 | CGY | Goal |
| 3 | 17:11 | OTT | Goal |
| 3 | 08:16 | CGY | Goal |
| 3 | 02:36 | OTT | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | OTT | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | OTT | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 55.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.6
Score Breakdown
Ottawa Senators 4 - 3 Calgary Flames
Expected: 3.7 - 2.9