Dallas Stars at Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Predictions
2025-10-30 • Benchmark International Arena
Tampa Bay Lightning 2 - 1 Dallas Stars (OT)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TBL: 61.5%
DAL: 38.5%
Expected Goals
TBL: 2.82
DAL: 2.75
Total Goals
Median: 3.8
Over 5.5: 29%
Over 6.5: 19%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TBL
Andrei Vasilevskiy - 39-15-4 | 0.911 SV% | 2.31 GAA
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 35-12-6 | 0.899 SV% | 2.59 GAA
| Stat | TBL | DAL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.919 | 0.916 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.951 | 0.914 |
| GAA | 2.33 | 2.57 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • TBL at home vs DAL: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-18 | DAL 1 - 4 TBL | TBL | TBL |
| 2025-10-30 | TBL 2 - 1 DAL | TBL | TBL |
| 2025-03-20 | DAL 2 - 3 TBL | TBL | TBL |
| 2024-11-23 | TBL 2 - 4 DAL | DAL | TBL |
| 2023-12-04 | TBL 4 - 0 DAL | TBL | TBL |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 61.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 5.6
Score Breakdown
Tampa Bay Lightning 2 - 1 Dallas Stars
Expected: 2.8 - 2.7
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