Nashville Predators at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2025-10-30 • Xfinity Mobile Arena

Philadelphia Flyers 4 - 1 Nashville Predators

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

PHI: 61.7%

NSH: 38.3%

Expected Goals

PHI: 3.63

NSH: 2.71

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 45%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

PHI

Dan Vladar - 14-6-3 | 0.910 SV% | 2.40 GAA

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Stat	PHI	NSH
Season SV%	0.910	0.897
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.40	2.93

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
PHI	Dan Vladar	33	32	1	97.0%	3.41	4	2.41
NSH	Juuse Saros	18	14	4	77.8%	2.11	1	-1.89

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • PHI at home vs NSH: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-06	NSH 1 - 3 PHI	PHI	PHI
2025-10-30	PHI 4 - 1 NSH	PHI	PHI
2025-03-31	PHI 2 - 1 NSH	PHI	PHI
2024-11-27	NSH 2 - 3 PHI	PHI	PHI
2023-12-21	PHI 2 - 4 NSH	NSH	PHI

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	8	0	0.32
1	NSH	16	2	1.36
2	PHI	12	0	0.73
2	NSH	18	1	1.18
3	PHI	9	1	1.05
3	NSH	13	1	0.88

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown