New York Rangers at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2025-10-30 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 3 - 4 New York Rangers (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)

Win Probability

EDM: 58.5%

NYR: 41.5%

Expected Goals

EDM: 4.23

NYR: 2.91

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • EDM at home vs NYR: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-10-30	EDM 3 - 4 NYR	NYR	EDM
2025-10-14	NYR 0 - 2 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-03-16	NYR 1 - 3 EDM	EDM	EDM
2024-11-23	EDM 6 - 2 NYR	EDM	EDM
2023-12-22	NYR 3 - 4 EDM	EDM	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	13	0	0.88
1	NYR	23	0	1.64
2	EDM	19	2	1.63
2	NYR	11	0	0.59
3	EDM	10	0	0.57
3	NYR	17	0	1.17
4	EDM	3	0	0.23
4	NYR	1	0	0.18

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 58.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 7.1

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 3 - 4 New York Rangers

Expected: 4.2 - 2.9