Detroit Red Wings at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2025-10-30 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 3 - 4 Detroit Red Wings (SO)

🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

LAK: 57.3%

DET: 42.7%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.29

DET: 2.98

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 44%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

LAK

Darcy Kuemper - 10-7-6 | 0.913 SV% | 2.27 GAA

DET

Cam Talbot - 11-6-3 | 0.888 SV% | 2.99 GAA

Stat	LAK	DET
Season SV%	0.913	0.888
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.27	2.99

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	Darcy Kuemper	28	24	4	85.7%	3.96	5	-0.04
DET	Cam Talbot	42	39	3	92.9%	4.98	3	1.98

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • LAK at home vs DET: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-27	DET 1 - 3 LAK	LAK	LAK
2025-10-30	LAK 3 - 4 DET	DET	LAK
2025-01-27	DET 5 - 2 LAK	DET	DET
2024-11-16	LAK 4 - 1 DET	LAK	LAK
2024-01-13	DET 5 - 3 LAK	DET	LAK

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	16	1	1.00
1	DET	9	1	0.64
2	LAK	21	0	0.86
2	DET	21	2	1.65
3	LAK	20	2	2.07
3	DET	10	1	0.67
4	LAK	9	0	0.89
4	DET	0	0	0.00
5	LAK	3	0	0.17
5	DET	2	1	0.99

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 57.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 3 - 4 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.3 - 3.0