Colorado Avalanche at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2025-10-31 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 2 - 4 Colorado Avalanche

Win Probability

VGK: 37.3%

COL: 62.7%

Expected Goals

VGK: 2.85

COL: 3.35

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 46% • VGK at home vs COL: 5-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-26	VGK 2 - 1 COL	VGK	COL
2026-05-24	VGK 5 - 3 COL	VGK	COL
2026-05-22	COL 1 - 3 VGK	VGK	COL
2026-05-20	COL 2 - 4 VGK	VGK	COL
2026-04-11	COL 2 - 3 VGK	VGK	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	15	0	0.64
1	COL	13	1	0.80
2	VGK	12	0	0.68
2	COL	18	1	1.50
3	VGK	14	0	0.94
3	COL	10	1	1.23

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 2 - 4 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 2.8 - 3.4