Washington Capitals at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions
2025-11-01 • KeyBank Center
Buffalo Sabres 4 - 3 Washington Capitals (SO)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BUF: 54.2%
WSH: 45.8%
Expected Goals
BUF: 3.12
WSH: 3.25
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 62%
Over 6.5: 46%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BUF
Alex Lyon - 14-8-3 | 0.913 SV% | 2.72 GAA
WSH
Logan Thompson - 20-16-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.41 GAA
| Stat | BUF | WSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.934 | 0.904 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.82 | 2.39 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 86% • BUF at home vs WSH: 4-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-01 | BUF 4 - 3 WSH | BUF | BUF |
| 2025-03-30 | WSH 5 - 8 BUF | BUF | WSH |
| 2025-01-06 | BUF 4 - 3 WSH | BUF | BUF |
| 2024-12-14 | WSH 4 - 2 BUF | WSH | WSH |
| 2024-04-11 | BUF 4 - 2 WSH | BUF | BUF |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:07 | WSH | Goal |
| 1 | 02:15 | WSH | Goal |
| 1 | 02:30 | WSH | Goal |
| 1 | 10:02 | BUF | Goal |
| 1 | 18:45 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 19:17 | BUF | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | BUF | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 54.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Buffalo Sabres 4 - 3 Washington Capitals
Expected: 3.1 - 3.3