St. Louis Blues at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2025-11-01 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 3 - 2 St. Louis Blues

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

CBJ: 55.3%

STL: 44.7%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 3.17

STL: 2.94

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 46%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

CBJ

Jet Greaves - 11-10-5 | 0.909 SV% | 2.62 GAA

STL

Joel Hofer - 8-8-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.87 GAA

Stat	CBJ	STL
Season SV%	0.909	0.901
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.62	2.87

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	Jet Greaves	39	37	2	94.9%	3.28	2	1.28
STL	Joel Hofer	35	32	3	91.4%	3.56	4	0.56

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • CBJ at home vs STL: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-31	STL 3 - 5 CBJ	CBJ	STL
2025-11-01	CBJ 3 - 2 STL	CBJ	CBJ
2025-01-11	STL 1 - 2 CBJ	CBJ	STL
2025-01-04	CBJ 6 - 4 STL	CBJ	CBJ
2024-01-30	STL 0 - 1 CBJ	CBJ	STL

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	21	2	1.81
1	STL	17	1	1.08
2	CBJ	16	1	1.13
2	STL	10	0	0.50
3	CBJ	8	1	0.63
3	STL	28	1	1.70

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown