Vancouver Canucks at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2025-11-01 • Grand Casino Arena

Minnesota Wild 5 - 2 Vancouver Canucks

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

MIN: 57.3%

VAN: 42.7%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.18

VAN: 3.28

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 50%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

MIN

Filip Gustavsson - 13-8-4 | 0.912 SV% | 2.47 GAA

VAN

Thatcher Demko - 8-8-0 | 0.905 SV% | 2.72 GAA

Stat	MIN	VAN
Season SV%	0.912	0.905
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.47	2.72

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	Filip Gustavsson	28	26	2	92.9%	2.14	1	0.14
VAN	Thatcher Demko	28	23	5	82.1%	3.38	2	-1.62

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 53% • MIN at home vs VAN: 8-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	MIN 5 - 2 VAN	MIN	MIN
2025-12-06	VAN 4 - 2 MIN	VAN	MIN
2025-11-01	MIN 5 - 2 VAN	MIN	MIN
2025-04-12	VAN 2 - 3 MIN	MIN	VAN
2025-03-07	VAN 3 - 1 MIN	VAN	VAN

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	12	0	0.81
1	VAN	8	0	0.28
2	MIN	21	0	1.21
2	VAN	17	1	0.73
3	MIN	13	2	1.37
3	VAN	22	0	1.14

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown