New Jersey Devils at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2025-11-01 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 1 - 4 New Jersey Devils

🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

LAK: 55.7%

NJD: 44.3%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.24

NJD: 3.33

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 45%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

LAK

Darcy Kuemper - 10-7-6 | 0.913 SV% | 2.27 GAA

NJD

Jacob Markstrom - 9-9-1 | 0.884 SV% | 3.32 GAA

Stat	LAK	NJD
Season SV%	0.913	0.884
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.27	3.32

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	Darcy Kuemper	22	18	4	81.8%	2.64	2	-1.36
NJD	Jacob Markstrom	44	43	1	97.7%	2.85	0	1.85

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • LAK at home vs NJD: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-14	NJD 6 - 4 LAK	NJD	NJD
2025-11-01	LAK 1 - 4 NJD	NJD	LAK
2025-01-01	LAK 3 - 0 NJD	LAK	LAK
2024-12-12	NJD 3 - 1 LAK	NJD	NJD
2024-03-03	LAK 5 - 1 NJD	LAK	LAK

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	20	0	0.63
1	NJD	13	0	0.46
2	LAK	26	0	1.44
2	NJD	12	0	0.72
3	LAK	17	0	0.78
3	NJD	6	2	1.46

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown