New York Rangers at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2025-11-01 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 2 - 3 New York Rangers (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

SEA: 55.9%

NYR: 44.1%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.08

NYR: 2.82

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 42%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

SEA

Joey Daccord - 10-9-5 | 0.903 SV% | 2.77 GAA

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Stat	SEA	NYR
Season SV%	0.903	0.910
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.77	2.51

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Joey Daccord	27	24	3	88.9%	3.65	3	0.65
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	13	11	2	84.6%	1.50	0	-0.50

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • SEA at home vs NYR: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-12	NYR 2 - 4 SEA	SEA	NYR
2025-11-01	SEA 2 - 3 NYR	NYR	SEA
2024-12-08	NYR 5 - 7 SEA	SEA	SEA
2024-11-17	SEA 0 - 2 NYR	NYR	NYR
2024-01-16	NYR 5 - 2 SEA	NYR	NYR

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	9	0	0.33
1	NYR	15	1	1.17
2	SEA	11	0	0.69
2	NYR	18	1	1.24
3	SEA	6	0	0.25
3	NYR	16	1	1.09
4	SEA	2	0	0.23
4	NYR	2	0	0.15

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 2 - 3 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.1 - 2.8