Tampa Bay Lightning at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions

2025-11-02 • Delta Center

Utah Hockey Club 2 - 4 Tampa Bay Lightning

Win Probability

UTA: 46.2%

TBL: 53.8%

Expected Goals

UTA: 3.10

TBL: 3.39

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • UTA at home vs TBL: 1-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-26	TBL 2 - 0 UTA	TBL	TBL
2025-11-02	UTA 2 - 4 TBL	TBL	TBL
2025-03-27	TBL 8 - 0 UTA	TBL	TBL
2025-03-22	UTA 6 - 4 TBL	UTA	UTA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	UTA	7	1	0.84
1	TBL	13	0	0.83
2	UTA	15	0	0.88
2	TBL	15	0	0.60
3	UTA	16	0	1.02
3	TBL	10	3	2.43

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Utah Hockey Club 2 - 4 Tampa Bay Lightning

Expected: 3.1 - 3.4