Calgary Flames at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2025-11-02 • Xfinity Mobile Arena

Philadelphia Flyers 1 - 2 Calgary Flames

🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)

Win Probability

PHI: 57.0%

CGY: 43.0%

Expected Goals

PHI: 3.15

CGY: 2.98

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 38%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • PHI at home vs CGY: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-31	CGY 5 - 1 PHI	CGY	CGY
2025-11-02	PHI 1 - 2 CGY	CGY	PHI
2025-03-04	PHI 3 - 6 CGY	CGY	PHI
2024-10-12	CGY 6 - 3 PHI	CGY	CGY
2024-01-06	PHI 3 - 2 CGY	PHI	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	7	0	0.34
1	CGY	12	0	0.73
2	PHI	13	1	0.84
2	CGY	13	0	0.50
3	PHI	12	0	0.40
3	CGY	5	1	0.68

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 57.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 1 - 2 Calgary Flames

Expected: 3.2 - 3.0