Detroit Red Wings at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions
2025-11-02 • SAP Center at San Jose
San Jose Sharks 2 - 3 Detroit Red Wings (SO)
🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SJS: 55.3%
DET: 44.7%
Expected Goals
SJS: 3.03
DET: 2.99
Total Goals
Median: 5.9
Over 5.5: 54%
Over 6.5: 37%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 17-15-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.53 GAA
DET
John Gibson - 22-12-2 | 0.904 SV% | 2.62 GAA
| Stat | SJS | DET |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.896 | 0.893 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.874 | 0.887 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.875 | 0.909 |
| GAA | 3.36 | 2.97 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • SJS at home vs DET: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-16 | DET 4 - 2 SJS | DET | DET |
| 2025-11-02 | SJS 2 - 3 DET | DET | SJS |
| 2025-01-14 | DET 3 - 6 SJS | SJS | DET |
| 2024-11-18 | SJS 5 - 4 DET | SJS | SJS |
| 2024-01-02 | SJS 3 - 5 DET | DET | SJS |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 18:05 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 00:49 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 10:16 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 16:55 | SJS | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | SJS | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 55.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
San Jose Sharks 2 - 3 Detroit Red Wings
Expected: 3.0 - 3.0