Utah Hockey Club at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions
2025-11-04 • KeyBank Center
Buffalo Sabres 1 - 2 Utah Hockey Club (OT)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BUF: 47.1%
UTA: 52.9%
Expected Goals
BUF: 2.96
UTA: 3.27
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 49%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • BUF at home vs UTA: 0-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-12 | UTA 5 - 2 BUF | UTA | UTA |
| 2025-11-04 | BUF 1 - 2 UTA | UTA | UTA |
| 2025-03-20 | UTA 5 - 2 BUF | UTA | UTA |
| 2024-12-07 | BUF 2 - 5 UTA | UTA | UTA |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BUF | 12 | 1 | 0.81 |
| 1 | UTA | 14 | 0 | 1.04 |
| 2 | BUF | 7 | 1 | 0.64 |
| 2 | UTA | 24 | 1 | 1.89 |
| 3 | BUF | 7 | 1 | 0.69 |
| 3 | UTA | 15 | 1 | 0.68 |
| 4 | BUF | 1 | 0 | 0.12 |
| 4 | UTA | 1 | 0 | 0.18 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 52.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Buffalo Sabres 1 - 2 Utah Hockey Club
Expected: 3.0 - 3.3
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