Edmonton Oilers at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions
2025-11-04 • American Airlines Center
Dallas Stars 4 - 3 Edmonton Oilers (SO)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DAL: 59.1%
EDM: 40.9%
Expected Goals
DAL: 3.75
EDM: 2.27
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 56%
Over 6.5: 39%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 23-10-4 | 0.897 SV% | 2.73 GAA
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 15-7-2 | 0.890 SV% | 3.18 GAA
| Stat | DAL | EDM |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.860 | 0.841 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.880 | 0.913 |
| GAA | 2.57 | 2.73 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 53% • DAL at home vs EDM: 5-5
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-25 | EDM 3 - 8 DAL | DAL | EDM |
| 2025-11-04 | DAL 4 - 3 EDM | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-05-29 | DAL 3 - 6 EDM | EDM | DAL |
| 2025-05-27 | EDM 4 - 1 DAL | EDM | EDM |
| 2025-05-25 | EDM 6 - 1 DAL | EDM | EDM |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:40 | EDM | Goal |
| 1 | 07:07 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 09:10 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 07:51 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 08:37 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 12:20 | DAL | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | DAL | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | DAL | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | DAL | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 59.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Dallas Stars 4 - 3 Edmonton Oilers
Expected: 3.8 - 2.3