St. Louis Blues at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions
2025-11-05 • Capital One Arena
Washington Capitals 6 - 1 St. Louis Blues
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WSH: 60.4%
STL: 39.6%
Expected Goals
WSH: 4.06
STL: 2.54
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 64%
Over 6.5: 47%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WSH
Logan Thompson - 20-16-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.41 GAA
STL
Jordan Binnington - 8-17-6 | 0.864 SV% | 3.65 GAA
| Stat | WSH | STL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.869 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.904 | 0.826 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.958 | 0.733 |
| GAA | 2.39 | 3.56 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • WSH at home vs STL: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-05 | WSH 6 - 1 STL | WSH | WSH |
| 2025-02-27 | WSH 2 - 5 STL | STL | WSH |
| 2024-11-09 | STL 1 - 8 WSH | WSH | STL |
| 2024-01-20 | STL 3 - 0 WSH | STL | STL |
| 2024-01-18 | WSH 5 - 2 STL | WSH | WSH |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09:50 | WSH | Goal |
| 2 | 02:39 | WSH | Goal |
| 2 | 04:33 | WSH | Goal |
| 2 | 09:28 | WSH | Goal |
| 2 | 16:20 | WSH | Goal |
| 3 | 00:37 | WSH | Goal |
| 3 | 09:00 | WSH | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 60.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.6
Score Breakdown
Washington Capitals 6 - 1 St. Louis Blues
Expected: 4.1 - 2.5