St. Louis Blues at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions
2025-11-05 • Capital One Arena
Washington Capitals 6 - 1 St. Louis Blues
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WSH: 61.8%
STL: 38.2%
Expected Goals
WSH: 3.57
STL: 2.95
Total Goals
Median: 7.1
Over 5.5: 73%
Over 6.5: 61%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WSH
Logan Thompson - 31-21-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.44 GAA
STL
Joel Hofer - 24-13-5 | 0.909 SV% | 2.61 GAA
| Stat | WSH | STL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.912 | 0.908 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.940 | 0.947 |
| GAA | 2.39 | 2.87 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • WSH at home vs STL: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-24 | STL 3 - 0 WSH | STL | STL |
| 2025-11-05 | WSH 6 - 1 STL | WSH | WSH |
| 2025-02-27 | WSH 2 - 5 STL | STL | WSH |
| 2024-11-09 | STL 1 - 8 WSH | WSH | WSH |
| 2024-01-20 | STL 3 - 0 WSH | STL | STL |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 61.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
Washington Capitals 6 - 1 St. Louis Blues
Expected: 3.6 - 3.0
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